AEK Athens FCvs
Ajax
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/5/2023, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajax · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
AEK Athens FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ajax are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajax hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (33.2 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ajax holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ajax
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Ajax has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20