Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AEA · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
AEA are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Olímpia are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and AEA hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 39.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the Paulista Série B, while AEA holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AEA
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
AEA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00