Aduana Starsvs
Swedru All Blacks
COMPLETEDGhana · Premier League · 10/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aduana Stars · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Aduana Stars 0-0 Swedru All Blacks, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Aduana Stars 2-1 Swedru All Blacks
Original prediction
Aduana Stars
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.6% | 45.3% | -19.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.5% | 31.3% | 6.8 pts |
| Away | 8.30 | 10.9% | 23.4% | 12.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.3 pts
Projected Score
Aduana Stars 0–0 Swedru All Blacks
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Aduana Stars
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Aduana Stars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60