Aduana Starsvs
Karela
COMPLETEDGhana · Premier League · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aduana Stars · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aduana Stars 2-1 Karela
Original prediction
Aduana Stars
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.3% | 40.3% | -13.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 29.9% | 29.8% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 5.36 | 16.8% | 29.8% | 13.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Aduana Stars
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Aduana Stars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40