ADTvs
UCV Moquegua
COMPLETEDPeru · Copa De La Liga · 8/27/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ADT · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ADT 2-0 UCV Moquegua
Original prediction
ADT
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 59.9% | 45.8% | -14.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.4% | 27.4% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 5.84 | 15.7% | 26.9% | 11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
ADT
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
ADT has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ADTLDDLL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
UCV MoqueguaWDLDD
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
ADTUCV Moquegua
50.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence77.8
58.3Form55.6
60.3Power59.1
1.32xG1.01