ADTvs
UCV Moquegua
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 10/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ADT · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: ADT 0-0 UCV Moquegua, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
ADT 2-0 UCV Moquegua
Original prediction
ADT
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 64.3% | 48.0% | -16.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 21.7% | 27.9% | 6.2 pts |
| Away | 6.55 | 14.1% | 24.1% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.2 pts
Projected Score
ADT 0–0 UCV Moquegua
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
ADT
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
ADT has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ADTDLDLL
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
UCV MoqueguaLWLLL
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ADTUCV Moquegua
34.4Attack27.8
50.0Defence51.1
30.0Form31.1
40.1Power39.0
1.08xG0.76