GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 8/30/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ADT · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

ADT 1-3 Sport Huancayo

Original prediction

ADT

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6035.4%43.6%8.2 pts
Draw3.2328.5%25.7%-2.8 pts
Away2.5536.1%30.7%-5.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

8.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

ADT

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

ADT has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ADTWLDDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Sport HuancayoLLLDW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ADTSport Huancayo
37.7Attack40.6
52.2Defence42.0
31.9Form33.3
42.2Power40.9
1.41xG1.06
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