ADTvs
FC Cajamarca
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 10/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ADT · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ADT 0-0 FC Cajamarca
Original prediction
ADT
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 51.6% | 41.6% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.9% | 24.7% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.11 | 22.5% | 33.6% | 11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
ADT
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
ADT has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ADTLLWLL
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
FC CajamarcaLWLWL
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
ADTFC Cajamarca
35.8Attack50.6
48.1Defence35.8
30.9Form33.3
40.2Power42.2
1.47xG1.45