Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cusco · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
ADT are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cusco are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cusco hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the Primera División, while Cusco holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cusco
Probability
35.0%
Model confidence
35.0%
Cusco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60