ADTvs
Comerciantes Unidos
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 5/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
ADT are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Comerciantes Unidos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes Unidos hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80