ADTvs
Alianza Lima
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 4/14/2026, 8:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza Lima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
ADT are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Alianza Lima are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 27.4-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 71.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.0% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alianza Lima
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
57.0%
Alianza Lima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60