GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/31/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marineros de Puntarenas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

ADR Jicaral are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Marineros de Puntarenas are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and ADR Jicaral hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Marineros de Puntarenas holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marineros de Puntarenas

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

Marineros de Puntarenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ADR JicaralLDWDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Marineros de PuntarenasWWWDW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ADR JicaralMarineros de Puntarenas
33.3Attack61.8
100.0Defence59.8
100.0Form55.9
80.3Power59.1
1.34xG1.49
View match centre →