GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/3/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marineros de Puntarenas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

ADR Jicaral are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Marineros de Puntarenas are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and ADR Jicaral hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Marineros de Puntarenas holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marineros de Puntarenas

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

Marineros de Puntarenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ADR JicaralLDWWD

GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Marineros de PuntarenasDDLLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ADR JicaralMarineros de Puntarenas
33.3Attack61.8
100.0Defence59.8
100.0Form55.9
80.3Power59.1
1.34xG1.49
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