GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 11/19/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ADR Jicaral · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

ADR Jicaral are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Guadalupe FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and ADR Jicaral hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Liga de Ascenso, while ADR Jicaral holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

ADR Jicaral

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

ADR Jicaral has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ADR JicaralLWLWW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Guadalupe FCWWWLW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ADR JicaralGuadalupe FC
33.3Attack66.7
100.0Defence50.0
100.0Form66.7
80.3Power64.8
1.62xG1.30
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