GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 5/5/2024, 5:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ADR Jicaral · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

ADR Jicaral are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CS Uruguay are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and ADR Jicaral hold a 43.8-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Liga de Ascenso, while ADR Jicaral holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

ADR Jicaral

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

ADR Jicaral has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ADR JicaralDLWLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CS UruguayDWDDD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ADR JicaralCS Uruguay
33.3Attack33.3
100.0Defence50.0
100.0Form16.7
80.3Power36.5
1.74xG1.06
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