GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/17/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ADR Jicaral · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

ADR Jicaral are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Antioquia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and ADR Jicaral hold a 36.2-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the Liga de Ascenso, while ADR Jicaral holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

ADR Jicaral

Probability

54.3%

Model confidence

54.3%

ADR Jicaral has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ADR JicaralWDDLD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AntioquiaWWWDD

GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ADR JicaralAntioquia
33.3Attack55.2
100.0Defence36.5
100.0Form40.6
80.3Power44.1
2.19xG1.28
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