GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/16/2025, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ADR Jicaral · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

ADR Jicaral are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and ADR Jicaral hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while ADR Jicaral holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

ADR Jicaral

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

47.1%

ADR Jicaral has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ADR JicaralWWLLD

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AD CarmelitaLWWDL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ADR JicaralAD Carmelita
33.3Attack66.7
100.0Defence33.3
100.0Form33.3
80.3Power45.3
1.76xG1.19
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