ADO Den Haagvs
PSV Eindhoven
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 10/17/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PSV Eindhoven · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 0-4 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ADO Den Haag 2-1 PSV Eindhoven
Original prediction
PSV Eindhoven
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.58 | 10.9% | 9.8% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 6.40 | 14.7% | 12.8% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.26 | 74.4% | 77.4% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–39%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–49%
Predicted outcome
PSV Eindhoven
Probability
77.4%
Model confidence
77.4%
PSV Eindhoven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20