ADO Den Haagvs
Heerenveen
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 10/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Heerenveen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ADO Den Haag 2-3 Heerenveen
Original prediction
Heerenveen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.31 | 28.3% | 20.0% | -8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 24.6% | 20.0% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 47.1% | 60.0% | 12.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Heerenveen
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
60.0%
Heerenveen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00