ADO Den Haagvs
Cambuur
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 9/19/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ADO Den Haag · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ADO Den Haag 1-1 Cambuur
Original prediction
ADO Den Haag
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 50.6% | 39.0% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 24.0% | 23.5% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 25.4% | 37.6% | 12.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
ADO Den Haag
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
ADO Den Haag has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80