GGOALVIO

Netherlands · U21 Divisie 1 · 9/30/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

De Graafschap U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

ADO Den Haag II are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded, while De Graafschap U21 are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and De Graafschap U21 hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.2% in the U21 Divisie 1, while De Graafschap U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

De Graafschap U21

Probability

56.2%

Model confidence

56.2%

De Graafschap U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ADO Den Haag IILLWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
De Graafschap U21LWW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.67/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
ADO Den Haag IIDe Graafschap U21
45.2Attack65.5
38.1Defence50.0
28.6Form60.7
39.8Power59.0
1.41xG2.44
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