2. Liga2. Liga
Friday, 31 July 202617:30Updated today
Admira Wacker

Admira Wacker

Home
L
vs
17:30
Rapid Wien II

Rapid Wien II

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Admira Wacker(39%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Admira Wacker
39%
Draw
27%
Rapid Wien II
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Admira Wacker
73
Rapid Wien II
100
Defence
Admira Wacker
0
Rapid Wien II
66
Momentum
Admira Wacker
0
Rapid Wien II
100
Danger (xG)
Admira Wacker
1.80
Rapid Wien II
5.40
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.41 xG for Admira Wacker and 1.29 xG for Rapid Wien II. Rapid Wien II's projected xG of 1.29 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 1-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.70 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.

xG for (Admira Wacker)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Rapid Wien II)
5.40
avg per match
xG against (Admira Wacker)
7.20
avg per match
xG against (Rapid Wien II)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Admira WackerAdmira Wacker
LD
Rapid Wien IIRapid Wien II
WW

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Admira Wacker39%
Draw27%
Rapid Wien II34%

Admira Wacker leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Admira Wacker Narrow Edge — Model Projects 1-0

Admira Wacker take on Rapid Wien II in 2. Liga.

Key factors

: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. Admira Wacker's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 48% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.
: ⚠️ Upset Risk Rapid Wien II have won 1 of their last 5 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While Admira Wacker carry the stronger underlying metrics, Rapid Wien II's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

Admira Wacker hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Admira Wacker.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Admira Wacker, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Rapid Wien II score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • The xG gap is narrow at 0.12 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Admira Wacker

Admira Wacker

L
@ Wolfsberger AC
3 Jul 2026
28
D
vs Floridsdorfer AC
14 May 2026
00
Rapid Wien II

Rapid Wien II

W
@ Fach-Donaufeld
14 Jul 2026
61
W
@ Sturm Graz II
14 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Admira Wacker vs Rapid Wien II?

GoalVio's model predicts Admira Wacker to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Admira Wacker vs Rapid Wien II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Admira Wacker vs Rapid Wien II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Admira Wacker vs Rapid Wien II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more