Admira Prahavs
Písek
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL A · 9/20/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Písek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Admira Praha 4-1 Písek
Original prediction
Písek
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 31.9% | 34.4% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.6% | 26.3% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 43.5% | 39.3% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Písek
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Písek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00