Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Sunday, 2 August 202609:15Updated today
Admira Praha

Admira Praha

Home
L
vs
09:15
Dukla Praha II

Dukla Praha II

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Dukla Praha II33%
Admira Praha33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Admira Praha
33%
Draw
33%
Dukla Praha II
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Admira Praha
9
Dukla Praha II
94
Defence
Admira Praha
6
Dukla Praha II
91
Momentum
Admira Praha
0
Dukla Praha II
100
Danger (xG)
Admira Praha
0.00
Dukla Praha II
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.42 xG for Admira Praha and 1.28 xG for Dukla Praha II — meaningful and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.14), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.70 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Admira Praha)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Dukla Praha II)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Admira Praha)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Dukla Praha II)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Admira PrahaAdmira Praha
L
Dukla Praha IIDukla Praha II
W

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Admira Praha33%
Draw33%
Dukla Praha II33%

Dukla Praha II leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Admira Praha vs Dukla Praha II: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Admira Praha take on Dukla Praha II in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Admira Praha have been conceding 1.73 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Admira Praha 0Draws 01 Dukla Praha II
Avg goals: 3.0
17 May 2026
Admira Praha
L03
Dukla Praha II

Recent form

Admira Praha

Admira Praha

L
vs Dukla Praha II
17 May 2026
03
Dukla Praha II

Dukla Praha II

W
@ Admira Praha
17 May 2026
30

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Admira Praha vs Dukla Praha II?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Admira Praha vs Dukla Praha II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Admira Praha vs Dukla Praha II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Admira Praha vs Dukla Praha II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more