Adelaide Victoryvs
South Adelaide Panthers
COMPLETEDAustralia · South Australia State League 1 · 5/23/2026, 5:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Adelaide Victory · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Adelaide Victory are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while South Adelaide Panthers are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Victory hold a 27.8-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 26.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Victory holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Adelaide Victory
Probability
81.3%
Model confidence
9.2%
Adelaide Victory has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40