GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 5/23/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide Victory · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Adelaide Victory are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while South Adelaide Panthers are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Victory hold a 27.8-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 26.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Victory holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide Victory

Probability

81.3%

Model confidence

9.2%

Adelaide Victory has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide VictoryWWLWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
South Adelaide PanthersWLWLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Adelaide VictorySouth Adelaide Panthers
60.6Attack39.4
48.5Defence6.1
54.5Form22.7
54.1Power26.3
3.75xG1.05
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