GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 5/2/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Modbury Jets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Adelaide Victory are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Modbury Jets are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Modbury Jets hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 67.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.8% in the South Australia State League 1, while Modbury Jets holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Modbury Jets

Probability

54.8%

Model confidence

54.8%

Modbury Jets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide VictoryWWDLW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Modbury JetsWWDWD

GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Adelaide VictoryModbury Jets
60.6Attack69.7
48.5Defence69.7
54.5Form66.7
54.1Power67.5
1.17xG2.09
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