Adelaide Victoryvs
Fulham United
COMPLETEDAustralia · South Australia State League 1 · 3/14/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Adelaide Victory · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Adelaide Victory are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Fulham United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fulham United hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Victory holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Adelaide Victory
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Adelaide Victory has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40