GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 5/16/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide Victory · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Adelaide Victory are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Eastern United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Victory hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Victory holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide Victory

Probability

71.4%

Model confidence

9.4%

Adelaide Victory has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide VictoryWLWWD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Eastern UnitedDWLLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Adelaide VictoryEastern United
60.6Attack37.9
48.5Defence33.3
54.5Form33.3
54.1Power37.2
2.79xG1.04
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