Adelaide Unitedvs
Wofoo Tai Po
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Two · 9/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Adelaide United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Adelaide United 3-0 Wofoo Tai Po
Original prediction
Adelaide United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 07:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.20 | 76.0% | 53.3% | -22.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.94 | 15.3% | 23.8% | 8.4 pts |
| Away | 10.50 | 8.7% | 22.9% | 14.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Adelaide United
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Adelaide United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80