GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 4/19/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide United II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Adelaide United II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while West Adelaide are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide United II hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (48.9 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the South Australia NPL, while Adelaide United II holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide United II

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Adelaide United II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide United IIDDWDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
West AdelaideDDWWL

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide United IIWest Adelaide
50.0Attack60.6
51.5Defence33.3
43.9Form37.9
48.9Power44.9
2.23xG1.64
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