GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 5/9/2026, 6:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MetroStars · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Adelaide United II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while MetroStars are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and MetroStars hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (48.9 v 67.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.8% in the South Australia NPL, while MetroStars holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MetroStars

Probability

60.8%

Model confidence

60.8%

MetroStars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide United IIWWDDW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MetroStarsDWDWD

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide United IIMetroStars
50.0Attack80.3
51.5Defence65.2
43.9Form66.7
48.9Power67.5
1.09xG2.32
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