Adelaide United IIvs
MetroStars
COMPLETEDAustralia · South Australia NPL · 5/9/2026, 6:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MetroStars · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Adelaide United II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while MetroStars are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and MetroStars hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (48.9 v 67.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.8% in the South Australia NPL, while MetroStars holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MetroStars
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
MetroStars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00