GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 3/6/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide United II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Adelaide United II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while FK Beograd are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Beograd hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (48.9 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the South Australia NPL, while Adelaide United II holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide United II

Probability

35.3%

Model confidence

35.3%

Adelaide United II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide United IILLLWL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FK BeogradLWWLW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide United IIFK Beograd
50.0Attack53.0
51.5Defence54.5
43.9Form50.0
48.9Power52.8
1.49xG1.47
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