GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 3/29/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide United II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Adelaide United II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Croydon Kings are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Croydon Kings hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (48.9 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the South Australia NPL, while Adelaide United II holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide United II

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Adelaide United II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide United IIWDLLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Croydon KingsLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide United IICroydon Kings
50.0Attack69.7
51.5Defence37.9
43.9Form45.5
48.9Power51.2
2.04xG1.92
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