GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 6/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Adelaide United II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Adelaide City are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide City hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (48.9 v 71.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.9% in the South Australia NPL, while Adelaide City holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide City

Probability

57.9%

Model confidence

57.9%

Adelaide City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide United IILDWWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Adelaide CityWWDDW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide United IIAdelaide City
50.0Attack66.7
51.5Defence75.8
43.9Form72.7
48.9Power71.7
0.91xG1.95
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