GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 3/7/2026, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide Raiders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Mediumconfidence

Adelaide Raiders are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Salisbury United are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Raiders hold a 36.3-point power-rating edge (70.6 v 34.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Raiders holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide Raiders

Probability

89.3%

Model confidence

11.9%

Adelaide Raiders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide RaidersLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 17 · avg 0.60/3.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Salisbury UnitedDLLDL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Adelaide RaidersSalisbury United
84.8Attack40.9
60.6Defence28.8
71.2Form25.8
70.6Power34.3
4.43xG0.81
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