GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 3/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide Raiders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Adelaide Raiders are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Adelaide Victory are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Raiders hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (70.6 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.7% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Raiders holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide Raiders

Probability

69.3%

Model confidence

8.7%

Adelaide Raiders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide RaidersWWLLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Adelaide VictoryWWLLD

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide RaidersAdelaide Victory
84.8Attack60.6
60.6Defence48.5
71.2Form54.5
70.6Power54.1
3.01xG1.28
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