GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 3/4/2023, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Adelaide Olympic are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while South Adelaide Panthers are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.50 scored and 3.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Olympic hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (39.3 v 35.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the South Australia NPL, while Adelaide Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide Olympic

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Adelaide Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide OlympicLW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
South Adelaide PanthersWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 2.50/3.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Adelaide OlympicSouth Adelaide Panthers
43.9Attack53.0
31.8Defence19.7
37.9Form28.8
39.3Power35.9
2.37xG2.01
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