GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 4/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Adelaide Olympic are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Adelaide Victory are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Olympic hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (63.7 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide Olympic

Probability

57.4%

Model confidence

9.9%

Adelaide Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide OlympicWDLWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide VictoryWDLWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide OlympicAdelaide Victory
63.6Attack60.6
62.1Defence48.5
65.2Form54.5
63.7Power54.1
2.22xG1.25
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