Adelaide Cometsvs
Sturt Lions
COMPLETEDAustralia · South Australia NPL · 5/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sturt Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Adelaide Comets are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Sturt Lions are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sturt Lions hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (38.5 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the South Australia NPL, while Sturt Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sturt Lions
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
11.8%
Sturt Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80