GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 3/4/2023, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Beograd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Adelaide Comets are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FK Beograd are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Beograd hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (38.5 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the South Australia NPL, while FK Beograd holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Beograd

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

FK Beograd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide CometsWL

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
FK BeogradWD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Adelaide CometsFK Beograd
37.9Attack53.0
42.4Defence54.5
30.3Form50.0
38.5Power52.8
1.09xG1.80
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