GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 5/2/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

The Cove · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Adelaide Cobras are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while The Cove are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and The Cove hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (33.6 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the South Australia State League 1, while The Cove holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

The Cove

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

The Cove has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide CobrasLLLWW

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
The CoveWLWWL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide CobrasThe Cove
33.3Attack43.9
31.8Defence45.5
30.3Form39.4
33.6Power43.7
1.16xG1.73
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