GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 3/4/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide Cobras · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Adelaide Cobras are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Port Adelaide Pirates are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 4.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Cobras hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (33.6 v 28.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Cobras holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide Cobras

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Adelaide Cobras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide CobrasLL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Port Adelaide PiratesWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 4.00/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Adelaide CobrasPort Adelaide Pirates
33.3Attack40.9
31.8Defence15.2
30.3Form19.7
33.6Power28.4
1.90xG1.53
View match centre →