GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 2/28/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Adelaide City are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while West Adelaide are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide City hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (71.7 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.0% in the South Australia NPL, while Adelaide City holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide City

Probability

77.0%

Model confidence

77.0%

Adelaide City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide CityWDDWW

GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
West AdelaideWWDWL

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Adelaide CityWest Adelaide
66.7Attack60.6
75.8Defence33.3
72.7Form37.9
71.7Power44.9
3.19xG0.92
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