Adelaide Cityvs
Sturt Lions
COMPLETEDAustralia · South Australia NPL · 6/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Adelaide City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Adelaide City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sturt Lions are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide City hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (71.7 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.8% in the South Australia NPL, while Adelaide City holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Adelaide City
Probability
71.8%
Model confidence
71.8%
Adelaide City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00