GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 5/9/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Adelaide City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Campbelltown City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide City hold a 23.8-point power-rating edge (71.7 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the South Australia NPL, while Adelaide City holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide City

Probability

73.3%

Model confidence

11.7%

Adelaide City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide CityLLWWD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Campbelltown CityLWDDW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide CityCampbelltown City
66.7Attack53.0
75.8Defence45.5
72.7Form43.9
71.7Power48.0
2.58xG0.82
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