GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 3/5/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide City · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Adelaide City are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Adelaide United II are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide City hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (71.7 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.8% in the South Australia NPL, while Adelaide City holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide City

Probability

67.8%

Model confidence

67.8%

Adelaide City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide CityLW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 2.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Adelaide United IILW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Adelaide CityAdelaide United II
66.7Attack50.0
75.8Defence51.5
72.7Form43.9
71.7Power48.9
2.29xG0.77
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