GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 3/11/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide Raiders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Adelaide Blue Eagles are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Adelaide Raiders are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Raiders hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 70.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Raiders holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide Raiders

Probability

51.8%

Model confidence

51.8%

Adelaide Raiders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide Blue EaglesLWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Adelaide RaidersWWW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.67/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Adelaide Blue EaglesAdelaide Raiders
53.0Attack84.8
57.6Defence60.6
54.5Form71.2
56.0Power70.6
1.32xG2.10
View match centre →