Čadcavs
Tatran Prešov
COMPLETEDSlovakia · Cup · 10/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tatran Prešov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Čadca 3-0 Tatran Prešov
Original prediction
Tatran Prešov
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 10:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.34 | 16.8% | 34.8% | 18.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.27 | 21.0% | 23.9% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 1.44 | 62.3% | 41.3% | -21.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Tatran Prešov
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Tatran Prešov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40