Adana Demirsporvs
Erbaaspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 9/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erbaaspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Adana Demirspor 0-3 Erbaaspor
Original prediction
Erbaaspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.05 | 12.8% | 32.2% | 19.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.38 | 20.6% | 24.7% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 1.35 | 66.6% | 43.2% | -23.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Erbaaspor
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Erbaaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40