Adana Adaletgucuvs
Silifke Belediyespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 3. Lig - Group 3 · 10/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Adana Adaletgucu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Adana Adaletgucu 1-4 Silifke Belediyespor
Original prediction
Adana Adaletgucu
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.0% | 53.3% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 23.9% | 22.7% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 28.1% | 24.0% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Adana Adaletgucu
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Adana Adaletgucu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80